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  • McCain/Obama/Clinton Matchups Use Inaccurate Samples.

    Election polling is all about how you see the pie. Getting a poll right is determined by how you slice what you see. Figuring out American voters this November can be done well in advance, even now, if you see the pie and slice it wisely. LET'S DO IT. The pie is the visualization of the voters who actually will cast votes. How obvious you ...
    Posted to Politics by john adkisson on April 10, 2008

  • Gaming the Polls, Spinning the Spin

    I’m confused. New polls today say that Obama is gaining on Clinton in Pennsylvania, even after the Wright controversy and in spite of news stories that he’s not reaching blue collar workers there. One, attributed to Rasmussen by HuffPost, is in fact produced by ARG, a small polling operation in New Hampshire that seems to be politically motivated ...
    Posted to Politics by Mal2code on April 7, 2008

  • 46 Percent (%)

    This is the percentage of voters that believes superdelegates should support a nominee based on the elected delegate count. 30 Percent believe that superdelegates should support a nominee based on which one has the best chance of winning. While Obama followers would like ''everybody else'' to believe that HE has the best chance of winning, ...
    Posted to Politics by mabelle55 on March 22, 2008

  • Dem Popular Vote: Wow . . . it's real close!

    7,374,222 7,374,222 So, I was complaining about the lack of data on total vote counts from yesterday's primaries. Using CNN's up to date numbers, I did it myself. Note that not all precincts are in, but generally states have reported 90+ percent (most in the high 90s). So, as of now, where we are in Feb. 5 caucus goer and voter ...
    Posted to Trailhead by northlander on February 6, 2008

  • Obama's youthful base

    Perhaps young people are flakier, and more likely to be concerned about who they're ''supposed'' to vote for. In my first election (I was 18) I changed my mind at the last second.
    Posted to Trailhead by mcphereson on January 9, 2008

  • It's John Edwards, Stupid!

    John Dickerson wonders how Obama has successfully gone negative against Hillary Clinton without tarnishing the audacity of hope. It's simple. He's talked about taking-on Hillary without really doing so. The heavy-lifting has been left to Edwards, who has been the only one at the debates -- especially in Las Vegas -- to aggressively ...
    Posted to Politics by Russell1 on November 21, 2007