I suppose my subject title would
have been better named:
Criticisms on Steve Saleirs
critique of Levitts theory." but since that would be too long and
not readily comprehensible, I chose the one I did.
Sailer starts with underestimating
the reader by saying:
"I suspect that both the readers who have stuck it out with us this
far ..."
Not a very denigrating remark, but
yet.
One of the more bizarre statements
from Sailers 1st piece:
"So, let's look at just
black males born in 1975 to 1979. Since their mothers were having abortions at
three times the white rate, that should have driven down their youth murder
rate. Instead, from 1984 to 1993 the black male youth homicide rate grew an
apocalyptic 5.1 times.
I don’t get it. Does he
really expect us to believe that NINE year old black boys (born in 1975, would
be nine by 1984) commited 5.1 times as much crime?
This aside from the fact that he
takes unmatching periods, a four year period of births compared with a NINE
year period of criminal records.
Also, are his figures really
correct?
Then onto a misrepresentation of
the facts:
"In this essay, I'll step back
and explain why this straightforward insight might not actually work in practice."
Here, Sailer suggests that the abortion-reduces-crime-theory
is more something of a gut feeling, common sense thing. He
wilfully ignores that Levitt supports his theory with facts and figures,
empirical evidence. Empirical evidence, is that what you see by just looking at
it (and counting it)
"The widespread
assumption that your theory must be correct reveals just how many people deep
down believe, whether they admit it publicly or not, that "certain
people" are just permanently more incorrigible than others."
Let me translate: Sailer
implies that whites, of both the left and rightwing persuasion, think
that blacks are more criminal than whites. I don’t make this up, since its
strenghtened by his boast that he is very politically uncorrect. Of course, the
thinking that says that blacks are more criminal than whites reveals his own
prejudices, which he tries to make acceptable by saying that they are "widespread"
Of course, Sailer does not stop to think that, blacks are more poor, and that
poverty has been historically and worldwide explanation for higher crime.
(However, that does not explain why richer white Republican politicians have a
higher crime rate than their poorer black Democrat counterparts)
Mr. Sailer reveals his muddy
thinking even more with the next sentence: "And agnostics on the subject
realized that while disentangling nature and nurture was extremely difficult
(only with the advent of twin and adoption studies have we made much progress),
the precise mechanism mattered surprisingly little". Pfeeew! Is he really
suggesting that cause does not matter? Well, if you don't really care to
prevent or change a phenomenon, then not, I suppose. But he fails to see that
the whole nature v nurture debate is about determining which factor is
more important and change society by addressing that factor.
Another example of muddy thinking:
"Its (legalizing abortion,
bp) cultural influence would therefore have mounted. Just compare the
working-class black music of the '60s (e.g., Motown) with the underclass
gangsta rap of the late '80s, which spread the lethal bust-a-cap code"
Wow! Talking about jumping to
conclusions! In the sixties, virtually all black adults had had personal
experience of public racism, often condoned by state officials such as judges
and sheriffs. This would explain the demure attitude of blacks in public.
Privately, invisible to white culture this was another matter. In the 80s, this
private culture started to emerge, since now the large-scale, state-sponsored
white oppression had dissappeared.
Further evidence of Sailers
unability to see the world through other eyes :
"Finally, even more speculatively,
but also more frighteningly, the revolution in social attitudes that excused
terminating the unborn may also have helped persuade violent youths that they
could be excused for terminating the born."
"Lets kill someone, since
it's okayed by abortion all around?" This is only so when one sees
abortion as murder. I will concede that it is seen as thus by christian media,
but not by the public in general (and not the SC, still), however much the
neo-christians want us to believe that. Also, I highly doubt that a black youth
holding up a liquor store will think "My siblings have all been aborted,
so it's okay for me to shoot the Korean shopowner", rather than "I
need cash, let's go and get it from the Asian, he's a racist anyway"
Muddy thinking part ... I lost
count
"Still any realistic theory
about abortion and crime must deal with the massive correlation between
violence and race." Yes. Of course. Sure. I can ALSO totally show
you a massive correlation between the sale of ice-cream and the no.of
drownings. Even a bigger correlation between the sale of deodorants and the no.
of drownings.
In those cases, Sailer would have
totally disregarded the advent of summer as the underlying cause.
As does Sailer disregard the socio-economic position of blacks in usa
society. No other clearly visibly distinguishable group has been so
systematically been banned from main stream life in the usa, as
African-Americans. All other groups came here by choice, with their cultural
identity. Even though Jews were virtually forced to americanize their names
(their label-identity, this didn't rob them of their religion (their
core-identity). Aframs didn't have that choice. Jewish suffering in the us has
only been worse than African-American suffering if you consider not being asked
for membership of the country club, worse than enslavement, splitting up
families, beatings and whippings.