"Real Unemployment" is a factor worthy of our consideration.
by
spreadsheet
11/06/2009, 1:14 PM #
It's interesting to note that this phenomenon came into play during the George Era as well. It was commonly shrieked herein, that the "4%+ a little", unemployment numbers achieved at some stages during the George Era were "equal to, or better than" the "4%+ a little" numbers we hit during the latter half of the Clinton Era. And of course..conventional economic wisdom holds that a "4%+ a little" American unemployment number essentially equals zero unemployment. The reasoning is that at that rate, everyone who wants a job, has a job.
But...Clinton's 4% and George's 4% absolutely did NOT represent the same thing. To George's number - were we to be honest with ourselves - we needed to add a significant "real unemployment" factor. The latter half of the Clinton Era was the last time we actually realized genuine "zero unemployment". In fact...at the risk of offending populists everywhere, I would suggest that we were perhaps, in an OVERemployment situation - with ITS attendent problems. In other words, too many people had jobs for which they weren't qualified and/or they were being compensated at an unsustainable level.
Anyway...it's important for us to consider the the underlying factors that create this difference between the "official" unemployment rate and the "real" unemployment rate. AND...we should ask ourselves if cutting taxes and public investment, makes sense in terms of addressing that gap. Or on the other hand...if we're serious about confronting the factors that've led us to this gap, might it make more sense to accelarate our investment in things like training, education, infrastructure, and especial new American wealth creation engines?