http://www.newzjunky.com/
This is our local news site in our part of the NY-23 Congressional District.
It has certainly been interesting seeing all the national attention to this sleepy rural district. I would be very surprised if it ends up this way (Owens-D) is shown with an early lead. This is a heavily Republican area. Hillary Hate was rampant in the 90's and during last year's primary race. Surprisingly President Obama carried the district in the election, and a Democrat who had previously served as Assemblyman (lower house of State Legislature) was elected to the State Senate. I think that was a special election,too, though and involved lots of money from both parties from "downstate".
This district has not seen a Democratic Party Congressman since about 1870. The voter registration by party is heavily Republican. There is a solid base of the radical right here. But it is a very large district geographically and encompasses some more liberal college towns, etc. People here are also heavily dependent on Federal and State largesse. The major employer and driver of economic activity in this part of the district is Ft. Drum. We have chronically high unemployment and our manufacturing has disappeared over the last 30 years.
I make no predictions. It is a very interesting political phenomenon,but I don't think it has the kind of import or meaning as a bellweather for national politics in 2010 that the media wants to portray. The people here are unique (just like everywhere else.) Scozzafava had certain weaknesses both in her campaign, and vulnerability with regard to her husband's business problems locally. I don't think she was "ready for prime time" when the national attention focused on this race. On the other hand I don't think any of the candidates, or any one else locally expected the kind of attention the race got.
On the down side, we have received glossy mailings from all the candidates daily which fill our paper recycling bins, and as many as five political phone calls an hour, the last as late as 8:15 this evening. We'll all be glad when it is over.
Thank you for your kind attention.
THOTH