My hunch is in opposite direction.
by
tartuffe
09/26/2009, 8:06 PM #
Not,
of course, that there won't be any compromise, that's inherent in the
sausage-making. Talking specifically about public option.
Also,
not saying chances are yet better than 50-50 for it, just that they're
moving in its direction, for some pretty obvious reasons:
1. (if you followed the links, as I've long argued) public option saves money
($85B to fed gov't alone per CBO scoring, i.e., not even counting
savings to premium-paying consumers) by providing cost/inflation
control in the form of private insurers having to compete with at-cost,
low-overhead, efficiently run (a la Medicare) public option.
2.
Dems gradually waking up to the political-suicide aspect of mandating
everybody send their premiums to private insurers with no such
cost-controlling public option (see #1).
As I've said before,
(universal mandate to send our money to private insurers) - (public option's cost/inflation control) = (political suicide)
The
first hints of blowback on such combined policy/political idiocy are
already evident. If Dems actually end up presiding over such an
obviously suicidal debacle (and make no mistake, they own it like an
albatross around the neck whether it passes with (50+Biden) Dem-only
votes in "reconciliation" or 60+ "bipartisanship") they will earn the
XX(X?) resulting years of wandering in the wilderness -- it's that
politically stupid.
P.S. (deleted and re-posted to add re: "putative") Funny you picked up on that. Tongue pretty firmly in cheek on that one (though not SO much so that I think Rahm has not sometimes been at odds with The Boss's program, especially re: "hammering" progressives more than Blue Dogs, etc.).