no one would confuse either party as
by
baltimore aureole
09/07/2007, 10:48 AM #
being centrist.
the political game they play is to cater to their extremist elements during primaries (activing your core base), then ape a centrist philosophy in the general election.
in that regard (ironically) someone like biden might have more luck than hillary, obama, or edwards, who have a longer paper trail of non-centrist positions.
mccain, who the centrists were enamored of a few elections ago, simply isn't (a centrist). democrats only wanted him because they wanted to shed the "weak on defense" mantle. thus the ascendancy of the unqualified, do nothing kerry as their 2004 candidate.
a centrist party is an intriguing idea, but any 3rd party presidential , from any point on the political spectrum, has the immediate practical problem of now power base in congress. i think there is one libertarian and one "independent" in all of congress right now. a 3rd party president has the difficulty of both parties, not just one, regarding him as the enemy. presidential candidates like H. Ross Perot, Ralph Nader, etc. serve mostly to vent the angst of disaffected voters - and angst is seldom the motivation of centrists - they debate which is the lesser of the major party evils when they go to the polls.
3rd party candidates do extraordinarily poorly at the state leel (state senator, assemblyman, governor) because of the big money behind the major party candidates, and the local newspapers kowtowing to that money for political ads. 3rd party gubinatorial candidates always receive an editorial saying they have "some new ideas", but seldom an actual endorsement. and i can count on one hand the number of local races which are won without the endorsement of your local newspaper.
Delaware had one (non endorsed candidate win) in the last cycle - "Beau" Biden became the youngest attorney general in the state's history, over the endorsement of opposing candidate Ferris Wharton, on the basis of mistaken identity - evidently tens of thousands of voters of limited literacy pulled the "biden" lever thinking they were sending Joe Biden - his daddy - back to the senate.
Will name recognition work for Hillary, as it did for Bush? She doesn't look enough like Bill for it to matter, imho. maybe if she gained 70 pounds and started talking with an arksansas twang?