Re: Big flaw in "Blood for no Oil"
by
HopefulCynic
04/21/2009, 2:21 PM #
As an ecologist, I wonder where the premise of this whole article came from. To be certain, global climate change is what gets big attention in the news, but in the circles I move in, and the journal articles available, it is *certainly* true that habitat loss continues to get big attention. There was indeed a recent notable debate about the ability of secondary forests/afforestation in preserving biodiversity vs. trying to save primary forests. (The upside was that estimations of the amount and ability of afforestation to support biodiversity was, in my opinion and many others, grossly exaggerated.) I've taught several biology courses, for both science and non-science majors, and the focus of the lectures continues to be on habitat loss in regards to species loss, though global climate change is indeed mentioned both as its own problem and as a contributing factor (the effects on the ocean, as someone else in this thread pointed out, will likely have hugely negative effects on biodiversity as well, independent entirely of Dead Zones).
As far as the purpose of preventing extinctions, there are several clear rationale that have nothing to do with aesthetics. One is the growing area of ecosystem services, an area of research & advocacy I have certain reservations about, but the core of which is absolutely correct -- there is some level of biodiversity we need to maintain our own way of life, or anything near it in terms of quality, and as this level is not precisely known and may not be precisely knowable for all systems, the vastly better part of valor is to slow extinctions down to a reasonable (i.e. the "background" extinction) rate. It is an open question as to how much extinction we can tolerate while maintaining human quality of life, but it certainly shouldn't be answered through the current method of "let what dies die and God will sort them out." If we want to experiment with biodiversity loss & species turnover, all well & good -- let's do so on a controlled, limited scale. Saying there's not any necessary ulterior motive to prevent extinctions is silly and completely ungrounded in current biological/ecological literature. One famous paper, again with its own flaws but nevertheless valuable, estimated the goods & services we got from ecosystems in 1997 to be ~3X the entire size of the global human economy (I don't recall exact numbers, let's say the human economy in '97 was US$ 5 trillion, and ecosystem services were then ~US$15 trillion).
A second reason not to be blasé about the rapid rate of extinctions, which is indeed like the comet that hit the earth during the Cretaceous in terms of its scale, is that ecosystem recovery & re-diversification occurred not least in part because the comet stopped hitting. It was a point event, with lasting effects, but it was nevertheless one event (and the chain reactions from it). Human resource use is only growing and expected to continue to grow -- along with deforestation and other habitat destruction, and with global warming. The idea that diversity is going to resprout in an ecosystem/biosphere under continuous assault is ludicrous -- without resources not devoted excessively in favor of human use, re-diversification of a significant scale is, at the least, unproven, and at worst, unlikely. Not to mention the fact that re-diversification after major extinction events takes millions upon millions of years -- the question is, do we want to alter the biodiversity of the earth on a multi-million year scale, without concrete knowledge of how that will affect our own resource needs and quality of life? And considering human predictive abilities certainly don't extend to the multi-million year scale very well, such concrete knowledge is nearly impossible to obtain.
To whit, although the *popular discourse* would do well to focus on habitat loss along with global climate change, the academic literature about the former is hardly suffering (though it certainly has not expanded the way global climate change literature has, but I don't think we're suffering from a dearth of it either). Conservation organizations around the world are still very focused on habitat saving (although many talk about the Amazon in terms of "carbon sinks", I've heard at least as many ecologists continue to talk about habitat loss, if not more). And the value of biodiversity and the importance of slowing extinctions has been established far beyond aesthetics. If the complaint is that the popular conversation doesn't reflect these academic realities, then I can agree, but that's neither what the other posters nor the author said, and indeed, getting the media to pay proper attention to any issue is difficult, dicey, and has little to do with science in the first place. I for one am glad the media has caught on to climate change -- and its hardly as if it has replaced any kind of excellent and comprehensive environmental coverage of yesteryear. As someone else said, it's both/and. Stirring up dust by saying that people have irresponsibly abanonded one focus for another may make good copy, but it doesn't really reflect what's going on, imho.