"what would have happened..."
by
Malarkey
08/28/2007, 1:45 PM #
Hitchens has it in his head that a collapsed Iraq will not reach equilibrium in a tidy three-state wreckage pattern, but rather a more complex one "with Iran and Saudi Arabia becoming patrons of their favorite proxies and, in the meantime, a huge impetus given to the 'cleansing' of hitherto-mixed cities and provinces."
He then goes on to brag of how he "never tires of saying" that we don't deserve the blame for this since it would have happened anyway: had Saddam's regime been allowed to stay in power, it would have toppled of its own accord, creating the same power vacuum and resultant chaos that we see today.
Maybe I'm missing something here, but isn't that a tacit admission that our presence in Iraq hasn't helped? Those whom Hitchens would likely label as "defeatist" make a similar point when arguing for an immediate withdrawal, except they also acknowledge a few other pertinent facts: our troops are dying, we're spending more than we can afford, we're not making progress, our international credibility is nil, and we're recruiting for Al-Qaeda.
Hitchens says our presence in Iraq hasn't made things any worse than they eventually would have become anyway. Leaving aside the fact that this is nonsense, would he also have us believe that it somehow justifies our decision to invade? Not only is it ridiculous to think that Mr. Hitchens' predictive powers are such that he could ever make this claim with the confidence he projects (or should I say "never tire of" making this claim?), it is the single weakest argument I've ever heard advanced in supposed "support" of the war: we haven't made things worse, therefore it's all been worth our while, to say nothing of our blood.
It sounds more like something someone would say if they were trying to assuage their guilt for having lent fanatical support to an idea that's done so much damage to the world. I am disappointed to see that Hitchens would choose to fall back on this argument rather than admit that he was wrong, especially since he's made such a name for himself by spectacularly exposing charlatans and frauds.