Using research, logic, reason and fact, what will be the inevitable consequences of Obama’s economic policies?
Some research to sift through: <link> The indices of economic freedom attempt to measure (free market) economic freedom, and empirical studies based on these rankings have found them to be correlated with higher living standards, economic growth, income equality, less corruption and less political violence. For a sample example, see the following five studies:
^ Pei, Minxin (2001), "Political Institutions, Democracy, and Development", Democracy, Market Economics, and Development, World Bank Publications, ISBN 9780821348628 ^ Easton, Stephen T.; Walker, Michael A. (May 1997), "Income, growth, and economic freedom", American Economic Review (American Economic Association) 87 (2): 328–332 ^ Ayal, Eliezer B.; Karras, Georgios (Spring 1998), "Components of economic freedom and growth: an empirical study", Journal of Developing Areas (Western Illinois University) 32 (3): 327-338 ^ Scully, Gerald (2002), "Economic Freedom, Government Policy, and the Trade-Off Between Equity and Economic Growth", Public Choice (Kluwer Academic Publishers) 113 (1-2): 77–96 ^ Berggren, Niclas (1999), "Economic Freedom and Equality: Friends or Foes?", Public Choice (Kluwer Academic Publishers) 100 (3-4): 203-223
<link> "Public spending" or "Government size" or taxation" is different than "economic freedom." The curve shows that governments mostly tax, redistribute and spend themselves into economic destruction - even in nations with high degrees of economic freedom. The curve proves taxation, redistribution, and government size hinders economic growth in most Western nations because most nations tax their populations too much for optimal tax rates. The study tries to find the optimal tax rate which generates the most tax revenues. I would prefer to have less revenues and smaller government over the optimal rate.
The Path To Sustainable Growth, Lessons From 20 Years Growth Differentials In Europe: (<link>)"Big government" is the main cause of Europe's weak performance. The oversized Public-Sector lacks productivity and undoes the entire productivity gains of the Private Sector, eradicating all of its outstanding performance and productiveness. Europe can improve its overall performance by copying the Irish success formulas: Scaling down Public Spending, downsizing bureaucracy, and shifting the tax burden from income on consumption. This book demonstrates why the Lisbon Agenda and decades of Keynesian inflationist demand stimulation have failed. It develops alternative and workable supply-side strategies as well as effective cures for humane growth and a financially sustainable social security.
The main conclusion is that two factors of the public policy mix cause weak growth performances: excessive public spending and a demotivating tax structure, on the one hand, and over- consumption with a lack of savings and investment on the other hand. We conclude that the public sector in most European countries is far too large, depriving the private sector of the recourses to realize its full wealth potential.
US Joint Economic Commission: <link> -Government serves many useful functions, including some economic ones. The findings here support the view that the growth of government in newly emerging nations and economies tends to increase output. Presumably this reflects the reduction in transactions' costs and the improved environment for investment associated with a rule of law and enforceable property rights. At the same time, in modern times relative American federal government spending has expanded rapidly, reflecting sharp increases in transfer payments. The evidence suggests that large transfer payments in particular have negative consequences for growth. The results for the federal government are confirmed for state and local governments and several other countries. The findings suggest that a federal budget strategy of constraining spending growth below output growth, with particular attention paid to constraining transfer payments, would have positive effects on economic growth.
Nordic and Scandinavian nations: <link> - lists of countries of the world sorted by their gross domestic product (GDP) at purchasing power parity (PPP) per capita,- 2007. The relatively homogeneous European nations that do well on the Transparency and Economic Freedom scales have lower corporate taxes rates than the US (to keep businesses in country) coupled with much higher personal income rates (than the US) to fund their welfare states. As these tiny nations are far more homogenous than the US (and up to100 times smaller), they can more efficiently educate their populous.
The creative destruction of capitalism requires the “flexibility” of a relatively well educated populous, where people can change jobs at will. To be succinct, the Norwegian economic model would not work in a large diverse nation with 300 million people, including 40 people million who not speak English.
We should lower corporate tax rates to match the European example so that America may continue to create jobs. Of course, Obama would raise business taxes thereby increasing national unemployment.
Also, lowering individual tax rates, and significantly cutting government spending, would incentivize a bottoms up economic growth policy, as opposed to Obama’s Government down “Government Trickle Down Economy,” where Government collects more taxes from the rich and redistributes the money through stimulus packages and rebates to the poor. The fact is that the Obama’s “Government Trickle Down Economy” is far less efficient than the free market and will undoubtedly harm economic growth.