Re: Bush didn't bust the Budget. Congress did.
by
yetagain
02/26/2009, 2:08 PM #
I think you fundamentally misunderstand how the world actually works.
I work with a lot of people who are in the over 250K limit, and guess what - they already charge as much as they possibly can for their services. Just because their living expenses go up doesn't mean that they'll be able to immediately pass through their costs to everyone else. Prices in most industries tend to rise in unison because consumers are at least bright enough to recognize some degree of cost differentials.
To illustrate - Charmin costs, say, 10% more than the generic equivalent. Taxes on the CEO and other senior executives at Charmin rise by 3% on income received over $250,000. Assume that average pay for the executives in this category is $500,000 (just to have an easy number to use). The actual increase in taxes paid by these senior executives would be 1.5% of total income. They can't raise the price on Charmin products by 1.5% to offset this increase unless (a) they know that the increase in price will not result in a corresponding decrease in sales sufficient to wipe out the benefits of a price increase or (b) they know the generic competitor is going to raise prices as well. (a) is unlikely to be true because if it were, they would already have raised the price prior to the tax increase. (b) might happen, but it's illegal for Charmin to discuss the possibility of (b) with the generic competitor prior to making the change. They can't make the change in reliance on (b) until after the generic competitor makes its change, otherwise the generic competitor will not make the change, its sales will increase, and Charmin will lose out. The generic competitor, however, is making the same calculation under the same conditions. Where there is easily measured side-by-side competition, it's reasonable to expect that prices will hold steady rather than immediately increase to absorb a slight rise in cost (at least in the short term - prices might slowly rise over time, but they'll do that anyway for the reasons previously discussed).
The same analysis applies to the idea of cutting jobs to offset the heightened cost of living to senior executives. Generally speaking, most companies don't have a lot of fat in their staffing. It's actually unusual for a company to employ more people than they need to, which is why cutting staff is often a very stupid way for a company to save money. It's a short term savings, but usually hurts productivity in the long term. If a company has a hundred workers that it doesn't need, it should be laying them off regardless of the presence or absence of a tax increase. So saying that tax increases will lead to mass layoffs seems suspect. Of course, if anyone has any evidence of an actual connection between the two (other than theoretical work by the Chicago school of economics), I'd love to see it.
Also note that the increase in taxes of 1.5% of total compensation for senior executives should be relatively miniscule compared to the overall costs of production in the above-scenario. Unless senior executive compensation constitutes a major portion of the cost of a product, minor changes in cost of living for senior executives should have very limited impact on the cost of the finished product if senior executive compensation is 10% of the cost of production (which seems high to me), then the price of the product would only need to be raised 0.15% to offset the increase. Most of the senior executives, moreover, are not in a position where they can just raise their own compensation willy-nilly.
This line of argument (that tax increases on the wealthy only really hurt the poor) has been a very successful talking point for the anti-tax crowd, but it's never seemed to make much sense. Where a company can cut costs or increase prices, they will do so even without an increase in taxes. While an increase in taxes might have a theoretical effect on profitability sufficient to drive marginal operations out of business, those businesses probably shouldn't be operating anyway. While there might be some inflationary pressure caused by increasing taxes, I haven't seen it in my lifetime and inflation is not currently a major concern.