Biden/Clinton Reversed. Dream Team & Real Secretary of State
by
john adkisson
12/02/2008, 2:21 AM #
General Jones is great, but I am preoccupied by Clinton at State and poor Biden, better qualified for State, but relegated to a lesser role. Could Obama's failure to name Hillary as his running mate (and promise Biden the post at State the one he most coveted) been his most important political error in the 2008 campaign?
In his press conference today Barack Obama grinned and brushed off a reporter's question about primary campaign statements he had made about Hillary Clinton's actual foreign policy experience -- a series of tea parties with a few heads of state. He handled himself with charm as usual. But this was not a gotcha question -- it was a fair and good question.
I am not opposed to the Clinton appointment today. I have long advocated a team of rivals approach and Clinton certainly has a valuable international profile. I have also written that she provides "cover" to Obama for any foreign policy mistakes in his administration by avoiding the Clinton faction's labeling the mistakes as "rookie" mistakes.
However, it occurred to me when I heard the reporter's question and Obama's answer that Obama may indeed have made a mistake about Clinton, but not today. It may have been made before the Democratic Convention.
- Although Joe Biden was a strong Vice Presidential candidate this summer, he would have made a much stronger Secretary of State. His knowledge, flexibility, philosophy, and nimbleness in foreign affairs is unmatched.
- On the other hand, Clinton would have guaranteed the election to Obama had she been named Vice President. At the time, the only objection many raised to her selection as running mate was her potential incompatibility with Obama or the risks posed by Bill Clinton.
In the light of today's appointment one must wonder whether a wiser plan would have been to name Clinton as Obama's running mate and Biden as Secretary of State. In other words, did he get it backwards?
- Biden would have brought much more knowledge and ability to the job at State.
- Biden's foreign policy experience may now be potentially smothered by a Clinton at State.
- As VP, Clinton could have been given any portfolio that suited her and would have been supremely happy as Vice President. She also could have been kept much more under control in the event she interfered in a non-constructive way.
Obama's campaign was brilliantly run, but now that I know he is and probably has always been open to inviting Hillary into the administration anyway, I find it odd that he did not turn the race into a slam dunk last summer with Hillary on the ticket. There would have been zero doubt from the day he named Clinton to the ticket that the race was over. The excitement of the dream ticket would have made McCain/Anyone crumble. Not to mention we would have been spared Sarah Palin.
It's not that Obama needed Clinton in the final analysis, but when he named Biden he must have believed she might be a necessity. He took an uncharacteristic risk in rejecting the "sure thing" for VP. Ironically, he now has her where she can do much more harm to his administration and has lesser qualifications.
I also worry a great deal about Biden becoming marginalized in foreign affairs now that I see the otherwise brilliant national security team. Obama should announce a very significant Bobby-Kennedy-type role for Biden as soon as possible. Otherwise Biden's enormous talents may be wasted and he will surely regret to agreeing to become VP rather than Secretary of State -- a post that surely would have been his.
With Biden as the running mate and therefore unavailable for State, Clinton is a good choice today. But I must wonder if he got it backwards last summer when he could have promised State to Biden, selected Clinton as his running mate, and put the campaign away before the democratic convention.
I hope he had a plan all along on this. But we will see by the way Biden is used in this line-up.