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What would Solomon do?
by PhilfromCalifornia

I have cross-posted this from Moneybox since I anticipate that the responses here (assuming there are any) might be better thought out than will be the case there.

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What would the fabled King Solomon do if he became aware that there were businesses that were too big to fail? I think we all know the answer: he would cut them in half - or in as many pieces as was appropriate, anyway. What do I mean by that? Well, in the past (in more settled and reassuring times) there were commercial banks, there were insurance companies, there were stock brokers, there were investment funds, and there were venture capitalists. I admit that that is probably an incomplete list, but it is at least a recital of the major financial components of our economic system. Most people, at that time (and hopefully now) recognized that these were, in a sense, overhead functions applied to the real economy in order to expedite those financial functions which supplemented barter as a way of exchanging goods and services. They allowed time to be included as a significant dimension of the economy: you could buy something now for later delivery, you could save money in your youth to spend in old age, you could sell goods and receive payment later - that sort of thing which we took so much for granted that we didn't recognize that the infrastructure lay outside the real economy. In each area, there were a number of separate operatives, sometimes competing in the same region, sometimes carving the whole into non-competing regions, merging, splitting, and occasionally fading away. Each of these islands of commerce was separate and non-overlapping. Each was simple enough that it could be monitored and understood, and each was small enough that it could either be allowed to fail or could be rescued, all without seriously disrupting the economy. None was large enough, or powerful enough, that it could take control of either the economy or the government, and none could successfully resist regulation. Mergers occurred within each field and usually improved efficiency, yielding advantages for owners, employees, and customers. But, most importantly, these industries, and their member companies existed outside of the real economy and for the purpose of expediting the workings of the real economy. Then came the cross industry penetrations.

Through various paths, companies merged or expanded so that they existed across the dividing lines which had formerly partitioned them into benign members of the overall economy. Banks, which had formerly borrowed deposits from some of their customers and lent them to other of their customers merged with investment houses that were making speculative sales and purchases in the equity markets. Soon, the money of the bank depositors was being used to make these speculative purchases. Insurance companies, which had once been extremely prudent investors became one with houses which were frankly gamblers, and money which was to be kept safe to pay customer claims was placed in very risky investments. Soon, the normal ways of investing, and even gambling in the real economy, were saturated, and these new hybrid firms turned to a new venture: investing in each others products; clearly an incestuous act. Because these entities had limited defined assets to sell to each other, as they swelled to unbelievable size, they started to manufacture synthetic assets which they continued to trade. This allowed them to continue to grow, but they were fed mainly on the nutrient-free hollow products of their own invention. They became less interested in supporting the real economy and turned their attention completely to attempting to outsmart each other - to fashion some new product that was irresistably tempting - and worthless! Because they had grown to be bigger and more powerful than the regulators, than the government, than countries, they made the rules - and the rules then said leave us alone, we're having a great time. While they were playing up there, in their own self-made heaven, the real economy went on down below, in the real world. Because the real economy was no longer of particular interest to these players, it receive little attention or care from the people involved in the game, who once were involved in applying their professional skills to aiding those in the real economy in steering safe financial paths. And so, when something broke in the real economy - an oversupply of housing - it didn't get the attention of the professionals until it was too late. When they did respond, it was because they had based much of their fanciful paper, which they had been joyously trading, on what had seemed a solid foundation when they last made contact with the real world - housing. And so, it all fell apart, and companies which had been allowed to grow too big to fail, failed! And when they did fail, the rained down in toxic pieces on the real economy, far below, which had been operating reasonably and responsibly and was now to be victim of those who hadn't.

King Solomon would have seen all this and, in his wisdom, he would have set thing back in order by severing these entities which were too big to fail into the original segements which had worked successfully for so long. Yes, this is obviously what Solomon would have done; and it is obviously what we should do.

Re: What would Solomon do?
by Madai

How should one measure the size at which to cut? Market cap? Number of employees? Profits? Revenues? Any one of the above?

I do agree that businesses should be cut into pieces. I suggest market cap as a good way to decided when to slice, and a good market cap cap would 1000X the population of the USA, or, today about 300 billion. After a corporation becomes bigger than 300billion, they have one year to spin off some section of themselves.

Re: What would Solomon do?
by PhilfromCalifornia

Well, I think it is obligatory that the first cuts be made to divide the diverse functions with each other, regardless of relative size. After those divisions, then those which are too big to fail could be subdivided. Market cap could be considered, but one has the problem that some of the parts that resulted after the functional division might have a negative market cap. That is, they are initially insolvent after allocated assets properly. By properly, I mean that money which was inappropriately diverted from savings (a commercial bank function) to some risky investment segment would be restored to the bank, even if it left the investment segment in deficit. Likewise, assets would be moved to a severed insurance operation in an amount which would give them what are considered adequate reserves for an insurance company with a given value of policies extant. I understand that this would leave a deficit component in many (most?) cases, but with the industry in the amount of trouble which we see, that is inevitable. In general, I would not feel too badly if those portions which specialized in high risk investment fail, preferring to leave the portions which represent more conservative (see, I said that!) business segments whole and functioning.

Each of the final partitions would be issued a number of shares equal to that of the "parent" entity, and stockholders would receive one share of each of the partitions for each share they held in the parent entity. Bonds which were held by the parent entity would be divided according to their riskiness among the partitions in a manner which represented, as nearly as possible, the kinds of bonds that each partition would be likely to hold.

I understand that this partitioning is complex, but what we have now is even more complex and just funding the existing hybrids and allowing them to continue doing what they have been doing (which seems to me to be what Bush/Paulson/Bernanke have in mind) makes absolutely no sense. We have to reallocate resources in a manner which leads to a stable future in the real economy.

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