The Professional Economists Disagree With You
by
LeRoy_Was_Here
10/08/2008, 6:15 PM #
Mark_RSM: If Mr Obama gets elected, then he will increase government spending
and taxes, if Mr McCain get elected he will decrease taxes and
government spending.
Seem very simple, if we want to expand out economy vote Mr McCain.
LeRoy: Well, Mark, it seems that professional economists would mostly disagree with you. In the October 4-10 issue, The Economist published the results of a survey of professional research economists in regard to America's Presidential election. A few excerpts:
"As the financial crisis pushes the economy back to the top of voters' concerns, Barack Obama is starting to open up a clear lead over John McCain in the opinion polls. But among those who study economics for a living, Mr. Obama's lead is much more commanding. A survey of academic economists by The Economist finds the majority---at times by overwhelming margins---believe Mr. Obama has the superior economic plan, a firmer grasp of economics and will appoint better economic advisers."
"...We emailed a questionnaire to 683 research associates, all we could track down, of the National Bureau of Economic Research, America's premier association of applied academic economists...A total of 142 responded, of whom 46% identified themselves as Democrats, 10% as Republicans, and 44% as neither. This skewed party breakdown may reflect academia's Democratic tilt, or possibly Democrats' greater propensity to respond. [LeRoy: Or it may simply reflect the growing unpopularity of the Republican 'brand'!] Still, even if we exclude respondents with a party identification, Mr. Obama retains a strong edge."
"Eighty percent of respondents and no fewer than 71% of those who do not cleave to either main party say Mr. Obama has a better grasp of economics. Even among Republicans Mr. Obama has the edge: 46% versus 23% say Mr. Obama has the better grasp of the subject." [Emphasis added by LeRoy, because it is quite remarkable that Republican economists in the survey, by a two-to-one margin (!) concede that Senator Obama understands economics better than Senator McCain.]
LeRoy: Perhaps a major reason why academic economists offer stronger support for Obama is because they understand, in a way that the public does not, that McCain's plans, if implemented as he proposes, would cause the federal budget deficit, and hence the national debt, to simply explode. From an article in The Wall Street Journal of a few months ago: "McCain's plan would appear to result in the biggest jump in the deficit, independent analyses based on Congressional Budget Office figures suggest. A calculation done by the non-partisan Tax Policy Center in Washington found that his tax and budget plans, if enacted as proposed, would add at least $5.7 trillion to the national debt over the next decade."
Sorry, Mark_RSM, but we have tried these 'trickle-down' policies. We have tried to 'grow' the economy by growing the national debt. We have tried to borrow our way into prosperity. We have done all that in the last eight years. And look where it has got us. It simply does not work. The economic catastrophe we see unfolding around us should be ample proof of that, at least to anyone with more than a few functioning neurons.
Time for a major change in direction.
And we will get that, with President Obama.