Re: I'm in a swing state for once!
by
Radiotone
10/06/2008, 4:15 PM #
Yes, Helms isn't NC, and he almost lost to Hunt in 1984...we're no Utah, in terms of being Red. But Erskine Bowles not only lost to Dole but also to Richard Burr, and I think the only reason Edwards ever won here in 1998 is because Lauch Faircloth was just such a toad of man...he had negative charisma. I really don't think Edwards could have held onto his seat.
We are becoming more urban (we're the 10th largest state in terms of population, despite having not a single city with a million inhabitants), but our growth seems typical of sun belt boom areas...much less Boston, much more Houston (people happy with sprawl, unhappy with taxes, not really looking for a cosmopolitan lifestyle for the most part).
As Hispanics are now a significant part of the population, it will be interesting to see how red or blue we are in 20 years, when a lot more of them (plus their American-born children) are voting. I wonder if an anti-immigration Republican will be able to win a Senate seat.
And we may be at that point the only southern state where the Democrats held on so long in the State House and Governors mansion (god knows exactly how) that the demographic trends will have swung back their way.