Dear Haddamgonewild,
The one thing that normally happens is the Republicans normally do slight better than the polls show, as Republicans tend to vote more than Democrats.
So in a close race, like Bush 2000/2004, even though the polls showed him behind he was able to win.
Obama is not running on his agenda, I am not sure he has one, he is running at not being Bush. His complete focus is to say he is not Bush, never been Bush,and never will be Bush.
Funny thing is, he is not running against Bush, and Mr McCain is no Bush.
But the message has worked, and as Mr Obama degree is in speech, he is very effective in saying Bush in just about every single paragraph.
It is funny how a person is assumed to be intelligent if he can speak well or write well, but is more or less unable to do anything else.
Mrs Palin has more experience as executive than anybody running and is liked by 80 percent of the people that are in her state, but everybody says she does not know anything.
If she was a man, none of this would be happening, and if she was a man she would have been at the top of ticket, instead of the bottom.
God Bless You