Re: Go ahead underestimate Palin
by
maxo
08/30/2008, 11:17 AM #
Demcon,
Obama could not have selected Hillary Obama. The combination would have been unelectable.
Hillary did great job of building a foundation for her own win 4, 8 or 12 years from now. She is much more electable now than she was at the start of the campaign. She showed grit, grace, and after she lost, the ability to work for the team. Those are all very admirable traits in a leader.
But, of the left wing, independent, and right wing voters who might vote for them, there are a good 10% who won't vote for her that would vote for Obama and there is 10% who won't vote for Obama and would vote for her. It is hard to win a race when you have already locked out 20% of the voters. It turns a 50/50 race into a 40/50 race or even worse a 40/55 race.
And whoever gets elected is going to have an unholy mess on their hands. This recession is only *just* starting. We are in for 18 months of pain. In the last week, the number of banks on the verge of failing went from 90 to 136. Any of those banks would instantly fail if their names got out (as Indymac did when a STUPID irresponsible democratic congressman published it's name). Indymac alone took over 10% of the FDIC's total reserves. Right now-- at the start- we are looking at failing banks requiring over 1,000% of the FDIC's reserves (i.e. you may have to wait up to 7 years to get your money back).
Bush has made such a diplomatic and military mess of the world that none of our ally's care to help us (and would probably like to see us fail to get our comeuppance) and our military is pinned down in unwinnable battles all over the world for potentially decades-- it's obvious we must cut an run at some point (probalby under the next president).
So I take pity on the next president more than envy them.
And fundamentally- the democrats are in a no-win situation. Since they are behaving like immature crybabies who can't take losing well, they were either going to lose
1) Females 50 and over.
2) Blacks
3) Blue Collar Whites
Well... you can't ALL be first in line. Obama is going for the Blacks and Blue Collar whites and hoping that there are more rational females who realize that voting Republican or sitting out this race is one of the stupidest things they could ever do.