Iraq needs a new constitution, US needs a military draft
by
Zarniwoop
07/25/2007, 9:10 PM #
It is apparent by now that the government in Iraq is not capable of maintaining civil order, even with help (or hinderance) from the US presence there.
I think that the real turning point over the cliff was the rush to have the Iraqi constitution ratified despite general Sunni opposition to it. If the Sunnis were able to force significant changes in the constitution through the politcal process, that would show them that even as a minority, they can wield political power.
That's not to say that they would not choose a violent insurgency. However, when a large minority opposes something as fundamental as the country's constitution and still end up stuck with it, the message is clear that the political process is a dead end. This is particularly the case in areas where monarchies and dictatorships demonstrate that minorities posess zero political capital.
If the US really cares about the fate of Iraq and the establishment of a stable (and hopefully freely democratic) Iraq is as important as the current administration makes it out to be, then the path is pretty clear. The US must step up to the plate and send enough properly trained troops to secure the entire country - enough trained to act as a national police force, effecitvely replacing the local policemen.
This would require a much more significant sacrifice than the current administration or the US populace in general are willing to bear. This would require at least as many troops as suggested before the invasion, 400,000. It would probably take more due to the escalation in violence since the invasion. The only way to have this many troops is to institute a national military draft, and the only way to pay for it would be a massive tax hike or massive cuts in current spending (and not just pork, but real programs like highway funds).
If we as a Nation decide that a stable and free Iraq is absolutely vital to our national interests, then we owe it to our troops to support them and give them a realistic chance of achieving a strategic victory. This is what makes the surge so laughable if it were not so insulting.
However, I would bet that most Americans are not willing to make the type of sacrifice necessary for a strategic victory. Somewhat less importantly, this administration is not willing to part with their preconceived notions of how success can be achieved.
Unfortunately, the risk of failure is a false risk for those in the administration. What is the price of a strategic failure in Iraq? Nothing - they shed no blood, spend no money, and if they lose control of the Whitehouse, just tow the party line and work at a think tank until you get called up again when the pendulum of public opinion swings back to the right.