Real US policy options for Georgia
by
old new lefty
08/13/2008, 1:50 PM #
In reading the posts, there is some simplistic thinking going on as far as what the appropriate response should be to Russia's intervention. I believe that the Russian incursion into Georgia is a historic break with the past, and that it is entirely possible that if the West does nothing, it may mean that Russia is encouraged to use the same salami tactics on the near abroad that it used in Eastern Europe after World War II.
Looking at a replay of the Cold War isn't pretty, particularly given the current state of the world economy. If vital resources both in the United States, Europe, and Russia are used for a military buildup instead of infrastructure and national economic development, the world will be a poorer place. So what are the alternatives?
First, I would think that the Russian move actually increases the chances of NATO expansion in the near abroad areas. Moldavia and the Ukraine in particular will become very interested in looking at the security umbrella NATO provides.
Second, the Russian move will further cement American and European relations with China, giving tactic encouragement to China's economic incursion into Siberia. Coupled with this will be the foreign policy moves made by the multinational corporations. The recent difficulties that Exxon and BP have had with Russian oil development will make them wary of future involvements in Russian energy projects, and we can expect that this will not only hasten the development of alternative energy sources but to drop barriers on things like Brazilian ethanol and liquified petroleum gases.
Also, if ever there was an argument for withdrawing from Iraq and healing our damaged military resources, this is a wake up call. The neocons should be leading the charge to accelerate withdrawal from Iraq so that we can focus our military forces on other parts of the world.
Lastly, it will be necessary for the United States to practice more realpolitik in its foreign policy instead of "faith based." The United States should be at least as intelligent in its pursuit of national and international interests as Russia is. The G-8 membership of Russia might be reviewed to see whether it's appropriate given Russia's recent aggression, and there should be a greater emphasis on the United States using and supporting the actions of the United Nations. Realism on our part means compartmentalization of our dealings with Russia, and this means taking real steps to enter into effective nuclear disarmament talks to the benefit of all countries.
Tough talk against the Russians might make us feel good temporarily, but it's important that the United States take a longer term, more realistic perspective towards Russia than what the Bush administration has done.