We need a green Carl Sagan.
by
auros
08/08/2008, 8:33 PM #
I understand the CJR author's point, while disagreeing with some of her methods. I think Ron gets it too, as he recognizes that if the consensus is right, and global warming poses a serious peril to civilization, then anything that tells the voters that such peril doesn't exist will tend to slow down action to address it. Personally, I think of the situation more as deciding how much insurance to buy. You don't buy homeowner's insurance because you believe your house is definitely going to burn down. You buy insurance because it might burn down. If the best available science says there's a 1% chance of catastrophic climate change, the kind that sinks New York, Miami, San Diego, Los Angeles, and Boston under several meters of seawater -- well, how much are you willing to pay for insurance against that risk? Is 0.1% of GDP unreasonable? 1%? 10%?
Given that there are also a bunch of non-global-warming-related disadvantages to our current energy system, I'd vote for devoting a significant chunk of GDP to dealing with this situation. Maybe not 10%, at least not immediately -- trying to transition the economy that fast would cause a lot of dislocation and unnecessary pain. But a percentage point or two? Sure.
As a side-note, plenty of folks in the sustainability world did speak out against ethanol. Even some mainstream liberals did. e.g. Aaron Sorkin: there's an episode of The West Wing that revolves around the fact that candidates for President in both parties have to make a pledge to support ethanol subsidies in order to win votes in the Iowa caucuses, and they're not particularly happy about it, because they know what a boondoggle ethanol is.