Attention Spans and How Obama Crushes McCain
by
chart123
06/06/2008, 2:45 PM #
I disagree with two comments made on the Gabfest:
1. How to crush McCain. The traditional Democratic playbook holds that Democrats win on pocketbook issues and can't win on foreign policy. Two corollaries: Republicans are always stronger on foreign policy, and elections are not won, they are only lost on foreign policy.
The promise of Obama's campaign is that the traditional rules don't apply. Obama makes a mistake if he cedes the foreign policy issue. In fact, that's his strongest issue. If he cedes foreign policy, or pivots a la Bill Clinton to the economy, he reinforces rather than minimizes the idea that he's weak and inexperienced on foreign policy, and he misses a vital opportunity to provide, as I think only he can, a persuasive alternative to the current foreign policy framework. From what I can tell, I think McCain is ill-prepared to offer a coherent vision of American foreign policy and is more inclined to work/speak off of instinct. This seems a distinct Obama advantage. The public is more likely to agree with a thoughtful multilateralism that a muscular nationalism, and this is borne out by polls showing that a majority of Americans actually want to see diplomacy with Iran. Obama can win the foreign policy debate.
2. Attention spans and speeches. Check out the clicks on Obama's speeches on Youtube. The long-form speech is back, and people's attention spans are not dead. TV hurt us because it allowed Americans to get the reader's digest version of a political campaign. Youtube lets us get the novel. It looks like people prefer the novel.