Re: Gets It Totally Wrong
by
The Real RML
06/18/2008, 10:35 AM #
You sound very sure about an unwaveringly high level of demand when reducing demand is exactly what businesses are scrambling to do already.
#### You can only reduce your demand based on what you require. Unless you live in a major city, you dont have mass transit at all. That means you drive because you must drive. Those people who drive were not all driving SUVs either.
" Both GM and Ford are making cutbacks in their SUV lines because people aren't interested in buying vehicles that require so much fuel. As new cars on the road tend to be more fuel-efficient and as more people switch to mass transit, oil consumption- and therefore demand for oil- will drop in this country."
#### Oil demand wont drop because countries such as China and India who have large populations have joined the global economy and are now buying and using cars for the first time. In other word, no matter how much the USA reduces our demand, the number of nations with our hunger for oil is increasing thus more buyers for foreign oil. Oil consumption is growing no matter what the US does.
"Five years should be more than enough time for these changes in behavior to lead to larger effects on the market..."
#### Five years from now may not be soon enough when you consider the over all impact of the higher prices today. People cannot afford many things because as I mentioned above, they dont have a choice about gas. Sure, they may be able to switch to a more gas efficient vehicle (and of course they pay a price premium for the vehicle), but it doesnt really make all that much difference because the price per tank has doubled anyway-as they say, it doesnt matter how long the race is if you have no legs.