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Catastrophic High School Dropout Rates
by LeRoy_Was_Here

Following a discussion in Moneybox, I have decided to post here the summary of a news release from an organization headed by Colin Powell and his wife, on what they regard as the 'catastrophic' high school dropout rates in the major U.S. metropolitan areas. [And I will try to post the data below as a reply to this; Fray would not allow me to post it all in the same post, saying the message was 'too long'.] For those posters (like Sovereign and Phil) who do not regard education as being one of the major (if not THE major) problem facing America, my questions are simple: What do YOU propose we do with these many millions of functionally illiterate people? What kinds of jobs will we be able to find for them? If any? And how can we possibly hope to preserve the American middle class in the face of such educational 'performance'??

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contacts:

Colleen Wilber
Phone: (202) 657-0647
Email: colleenw@americaspromise.org

Becky Watt Knight
Phone: (202) 745-5050
Email: bwattknight@gymr.com

April 1, 2008

America's Promise Alliance Launches National Campaign to Combat Nation's High School Dropout and College-Readiness Crisis

Report Finds America’s Largest Cities Struggle to Keep Majority of Students in School with Big Disparities Between Urban and Suburban Graduation Rates

America’s Promise Alliance Chair Alma Powell Announces Nationwide ‘Dropout Prevention Summits’; General Colin Powell Says Dropout Crisis Affects Economy and National Security

WASHINGTON, DC – A report to be released today finds that only about half of all students served by the main school systems in the nation's 50 largest cities graduate from high school. Cities in Crisis: A Special Analytic Report on High School Graduation released today by the America’s Promise Alliance and prepared by Editorial Projects in Education Research Center further reveals that in the metropolitan areas surrounding 35 of the nation’s largest cities, graduation rates in urban schools were lower than those in nearby suburban communities. In several instances, the disparity between urban-suburban graduation rates was more than 35 percentage points.

The report was released by Alma J. Powell, chair of the America’s Promise Alliance (Alliance), which is kicking off a national campaign to reduce high school dropout rates and prepare children for college, work and life. The campaign will include a series of ground-breaking, high-level Dropout Prevention summits to be held in every state and 50 communities over the next two years. General Colin Powell, founding chair of the Alliance, joined his wife in making the announcement – citing the dropout crisis as a threat to our economy and national security.

Nationwide, nearly one in three U.S. high school students drops out before graduating. In total, approximately 1.2 million students drop out each year – about 7,000 every school day, or one every 26 seconds.

The lead sponsor for the Dropout Prevention Campaign is the State Farm Insurance Company. State Farm is joined by AT&T, The Boeing Company, Ford Motor Company Fund, Casey Family Programs, ING Foundation, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and The J. Willard and Alice S. Marriott Foundation.

In response to today’s report, Alma Powell was joined by Alliance Founding Chair General Powell; U.S. Secretary of Education Margaret Spellings; Senator Jeff Bingaman (D-New Mexico); Senator Richard Burr (R-North Carolina); State Farm Chairman and CEO Edward B. Rust Jr.; National Urban League President and CEO Marc Morial and others to launch the campaign. The campaign will bring mayors and governors, business owners, child advocates, school administrators, students and parents together to develop workable solutions and action plans for improving our nation’s alarming graduation rates. Several summits have already been held or are scheduled in Detroit, Tucson, Iowa and Mississippi. An additional 40 cities and states have committed.

“When more than one million students a year drop out of high school, it’s more than a problem, it’s a catastrophe. Our economic and national security are at risk when we fail to educate the leaders and the workforce of the future,” said General Powell. “It’s time for a national ‘call to arms,’ because we cannot afford to let nearly one-third of our kids fail.”

Research shows that the more support youth have, both inside and outside of the classroom, the more likely they are to stay in school. Specifically, research demonstrates that the more young people experience five essential wrap-around supports, what the Alliance calls the “Five Promises” – caring adults, safe places, a healthy start, effective education and opportunities to help others – the greater their chance for future success.

“The number one predictor of a young person’s future success is whether they graduate from high school,” said Alma Powell, chair of America’s Promise Alliance. “But just conferring a diploma is not enough. Students today must graduate with the knowledge and skills necessary for success in college, work and life. We must invest in the whole child, and that means finding solutions that involve the family, the school and the community.”

Experts say that dropping out of high school affects not just students and their families, but the country overall – including businesses, government and communities. The Alliance for Excellent Education estimates that high school dropouts from the Class of 2006-07 will cost the U.S. more than $329 billion in lost wages, taxes and productivity over their lifetimes. Young people of color are most affected, because nearly half of all African-American and Native-American students will not graduate with their class, while less than six in 10 Hispanic students will. Experts say that those who drop out are more likely to be incarcerated, rely on public programs and social services, and go without health insurance than those who graduate from high school.

“Economic success is dependent upon educational opportunities. If we are to compete, it is essential that we address America’s growing dropout crisis,” said Edward B. Rust, Jr., chairman and CEO of State Farm Insurance Company. “I urge other businesses to join us in this campaign to ensure that all young people earn a high school diploma and are ready not only for college, but to succeed in tomorrow’s workforce.”

In announcing the summits, the Alliance emphasized that they are designed to both raise awareness and develop actual action plans that will help put local high schools on the road to improved graduation rates with a curriculum that better prepares young people for the workforce. The Alliance also underscored that these state and local efforts would need to be buttressed by strong federal action, including passage of ‘The Graduation Promise Act’ and the ‘Every Student Counts Act.’ Similarly, the Alliance offered its own solutions to the dropout crisis rooted in work the organization already has underway around health care access and insurance, middle-school student civic and vocational engagement and using schools as hubs for the delivery of comprehensive resources to kids.

“The key to increasing graduation rates is to stop working in isolation and to start working together,” said Marguerite Kondracke, president and CEO, America’s Promise Alliance. “That’s why we are convening these summits. We need curriculum reform, after-school programs, efforts to improve health care and nutrition programs, increased resources and greater accountability. Most of all, we need to recognize that no one entity can solve this crisis alone, but working together, we can make enormous strides to ensure our children succeed.”

Report Findings:
Other findings of the analysis released today include:

Students in suburban (74.9 percent) and rural (73.2 percent) public high schools were more likely to graduate than students in the country’s urban public high schools (60.4 percent).

Seventeen of the nation’s 50 largest cities had a graduation rate lower than 50 percent in the principal (largest) school district serving the city.

  • Those with the lowest graduation rates included Detroit City School District (24.9 percent), Indianapolis Public Schools (30.5 percent), Cleveland Municipal City School District (34.1 percent), Baltimore City Public School System (34.6 percent) and Columbus Public Schools (40.9 percent).

Thirty-five of the urban districts in the areas including and surrounding the nation’s 50 largest cities had high school graduation rates below the national average of 70 percent.

  • Those in which the smallest percentages of students graduate included Baltimore, Md. (34.6 percent); Columbus, Ohio (40.9 percent); Cleveland, Ohio (42.2 percent); Atlanta, Ga. (46.1 percent) and Denver, Colo. (46.8). In each, more than five in 10 students do not graduate with their class.
  • Those areas in which the highest percentage of students graduate included Colorado Springs, Colo. (83.7 percent); San Jose, Calif. (80.9 percent); Nashville, Tenn. (77.0 percent); San Francisco/Oakland, Calif. (73.2 percent); Phoenix/Mesa, Ariz. (70.5 percent); and San Diego, Calif. (70.4 percent).

Seventeen of the metropolitan areas surrounding the nation’s 50 largest cities had a greater than 20 percentage-point gap between their urban and suburban graduation rates. Within 28 of those metropolitan areas, the urban-suburban graduation rate disparity was 10 percentage points or greater.

  • Those with the greatest variances were Baltimore, Md. (47.0 points); Columbus, Ohio (42.0 points); Cleveland, Ohio (35.9 points), New York, N.Y. (35.5 points); and Denver, Colo. (34.1 points).

The report analyzes school district data from the U.S. Department of Education’s Common Core of Data (2003-04). The country’s 50 largest cities are determined based on 2006 population reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.

# # #

About the America’s Promise Alliance
America’s Promise Alliance is the nation’s largest partnership alliance comprised of corporations, nonprofit organizations, foundations, policymakers, advocacy and faith groups committed to ensuring that children receive the fundamental resources – the Five Promises – they need to lead successful, healthy and productive lives and build a stronger society. Building on the legacy of our founder General Colin Powell, the Alliance believes a child’s success is grounded in experiencing the Five Promises – caring adults; safe place; a healthy start; an effective education; and opportunities to help others – at home, in school and in the community. For more information visit: www.americaspromise.org.

The Data On High School Dropout Rates.
by LeRoy_Was_Here
Graduation Rates for the Main School Systems in the Nation’s 50 Largest Cities

City

Principal School District

Graduation Rate

(2003-04)

Mesa, Ariz

Mesa Unified District

77.1%

San Jose, Calif.

San Jose Unified

77.0%

Nashville, Tenn.

Nashville-Davidson Co. School District

77.0%

Colorado Springs, Colo.

Colorado Springs School District

76.0%

San Francisco, Calif.

San Francisco Unified

73.1%

Tucson, Ariz.

Tucson Unified District

71.7%

Seattle, Wash.

Seattle School District

67.6%

Virginia Beach, Va.

Virginia Beach City Public Schools

67.4%

Sacramento, Calif.

Sacramento City Unified

66.7%

Honolulu, Hawaii

Hawaii Department of Education

64.1%

Louisville, Ky.

Jefferson County School District

63.7%

Long Beach, Calif.

Long Beach Unified

63.5%

Arlington, Texas

Arlington ISD

62.7%

Memphis, Tenn.

Memphis City School District

61.7%

San Diego, Calif.

San Diego Unified

61.6%

Albuquerque, N.M.

Albuquerque Public Schools

60.8%

El Paso, Texas

El Paso ISD

60.5%

Charlotte, N.C.

Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools

59.8%

Wichita, Kan.

Wichita Public Schools

59.6%

Phoenix, Ariz.

Phoenix Union High School District

58.3%

Austin, Texas

Austin ISD

58.2%

Washington, D.C.

District of Columbia Public Schools

58.2%

Fresno, Calif.

Fresno Unified

57.4%

Boston, Mass.

Boston Public Schools

57.0%

Fort Worth, Texas

Fort Worth ISD

55.5%

Omaha, Neb.

Omaha Public Schools

55.1%

Houston, Texas

Houston ISD

54.6%

Portland, Ore.

Portland School District

53.6%

Las Vegas, Nev.

Clark County School District

53.1%

San Antonio, Texas

San Antonio ISD

51.9%

Chicago, Ill.

City of Chicago School District

51.5%

Tulsa, Okla.

Tulsa Public Schools

50.6%

Jacksonville, Fla.

Duval County School District

50.2%

Philadelphia, Pa.

Philadelphia City School District

49.6%

Miami, Fla.

Dade County School District

49.0%

Oklahoma City, Okla.

Oklahoma City Public Schools

47.5%

Denver, Colo.

Denver County School District

46.3%

Milwaukee, Wis.

Milwaukee Public Schools

46.1%

Atlanta, Ga.

Atlanta City School District

46.0%

Kansas City, Mo.

Kansas City School District

45.7%

Oakland, Calif.

Oakland Unified

45.6%

Los Angeles, Calif.

Los Angeles Unified

45.3%

New York, N.Y.

New York City Public Schools

45.2%

Dallas, Texas

Dallas ISD

44.4%

Minneapolis, Minn.

Minneapolis Public Schools

43.7%

Columbus, Ohio

Columbus Public Schools

40.9%

Baltimore, Md.

Baltimore City Public School System

34.6%

Cleveland, Ohio

Cleveland Municipal City School District

34.1%

Indianapolis, Ind.

Indianapolis Public Schools

30.5%

Detroit, Mich.

Detroit City School District

24.9%

50-City Average

51.8%

NOTE: Graduation rates are calculated using the Cumulative Promotion Index method with data from the U.S. Department of Education’s Common Core of Data. Rankings are based on non-rounded statistics.

SOURCE: EPE Research Center, 2008

Graduation Rates in the Metropolitan Areas of the Nation’s 50 Largest Cities

City

Urban Graduation Rate

Suburban Graduation Rate

Urban-Suburban Gap (% points)

Baltimore, Md.

34.6%

81.5%

47.0

Columbus, Ohio

40.9%

82.9%

42.0

Cleveland, Ohio

42.2%

78.1%

35.9

New York, N.Y.

47.4%

82.9%

35.5

Denver, Colo.

46.8%

80.9%

34.1

Philadelphia, Pa.

49.2%

82.4%

33.3

Indianapolis, Ind.

49.7%

80.5%

30.9

Chicago, Ill.

55.7%

84.1%

28.4

Oklahoma City, Okla.

52.9%

81.2%

28.3

Milwaukee, Wis.

54.5%

82.5%

28.1

Detroit, Mich.

47.9%

75.0%

27.1

Tulsa, Okla.

50.6%

76.0%

25.4

Boston, Mass.

58.1%

83.0%

24.9

Omaha, Neb.

65.0%

87.3%

22.4

Jacksonville, Fla.

50.2%

71.5%

21.3

Wichita, Kan.

59.6%

80.8%

21.2

Los Angeles/Long Beach, Calif.

57.1%

77.9%

20.7

Dallas/Fort Worth/Arlington, Texas

55.8%

74.7%

18.9

Minneapolis, Minn.

63.5%

80.7%

17.2

Fresno, Calif.

60.3%

76.2%

15.9

Atlanta, Ga.

46.1%

61.8%

15.7

Virginia Beach, Va.

59.2%

73.9%

14.6

Washington, D.C.

63.9%

78.2%

14.2

Sacramento, Calif.

65.7%

79.7%

14.0

Kansas City, Mo.

68.4%

82.2%

13.8

Portland, Ore.

62.1%

75.4%

13.3

Austin, Texas

64.7%

77.5%

12.9

Charlotte, N.C.

59.8%

70.5%

10.7

Seattle, Wash.

57.6%

67.4%

9.8

Houston, Texas

61.6%

71.0%

9.3

San Francisco/Oakland, Calif.

73.2%

81.2%

7.9

San Antonio, Texas

62.9%

70.2%

7.2

Nashville, Tenn.

77.0%

82.8%

5.8

San Jose, Calif.

80.9%

84.1%

3.2

El Paso, Texas

66.0%

68.0%

2.1

San Diego, Calif.

70.4%

71.3%

0.9

Phoenix/Mesa, Ariz.

70.5%

70.4%

-0.1

Tucson, Ariz.

66.0%

65.6%

-0.4

Albuquerque, N.M.

60.8%

55.9%

-5.0

Memphis, Tenn.

61.7%

55.5%

-6.2

Colorado Springs, Colo.

83.7%

73.5%

-10.2

Louisville/Jefferson Co., Tenn. *

69.4%

Las Vegas, Nev. ©

53.1%

Miami, Fla. **

53.6%

Honolulu, Hawaii ©©

64.1%

50-Metro Area Average

58.0%

75.4%

17.4

Re: The Data On High School Dropout Rates.
by Luoyi

Those are some shocking stats.

I can't imagine what those cities will look like in 20 years time with those dropout rates.

And Those Stats Are From 4-5 Years Ago.
by LeRoy_Was_Here
There is every reason to believe that the situation has worsened, to at least some extent, since then.
Re: Catastrophic High School Dropout Rates
by Gingham_Dog

The wealth of the society permits such waste. Which is ironic because hard core capitalism likes to reduce the safety net, make people afraid, make them work harder. Yet the latent wealth has allowed the society to absorb such a write off of resources. What other major industrialised nation can make such claims?

Yet this becomes one of many drags on the economy that other economies don't bear. For instance the commuter culture, what other economy uses so much energy per worker to get them to their workplace, or the debt the economy bears relative to it's savings rate, or the amount spent on defense, these things represent real costs that have to have a negative impact on the competitive ability of an economy.

And from my dear wife with whom I have to share this post since she is a teacher. The society doesn't offer much incentive to achieve. What gains does a inner city youth see that they will get from having a diploma? For that matter many ivy league students are getting degrees for which they have no concept as to what profession they may reach from them.

Now certainly education cannot be so flexible to act perfectly in sync with the workplace, but society is doing a poor job of signalling the need for educated workers.

Re: Catastrophic High School Dropout Rates
by genedio

Thanks for posting these figures. They indicate a real breakdown in the culture. Education is neither valued in itself nor pursued as a means to an end (a better standard of living). America continues eating its seed corn and lives off past glories...while immigration and the brain drain is actually starting to reverse. But I have one slight disagreement with your final sentence.

You asked, "How can we possibly hope to preserve the American middle class in the face of such educational performance?".

I would reply that a lower GDP or a decline relative to other countries could take one of two forms. We could become like Brazil, with vast differences in wealth, education, and opportunity. Or we could become like Hungary or Finland, with a lower average GDP but with wealth, education, and opportunity more equally distributed.

Observing the politics of the past 25 years, I am afraid we are inclined to go the Brazil route. Oh, and incidentally, the reason why such mediocre results (at beat) in education are tolerated is because the affluent don't have to compete on a level playing field. As with taxation and budgets, the rich are prepared to sacrifice the nation as long as they personally come out ahead.

Congratulations
by genedio

for teaching in the 4th highest district nationwide for graduating seniors, and the district with the highest graduation rate relative to its suburbs (10.2% higher). You are in Colorado Springs, aren't you? Heck, scratch that, I remember you're in Fort Collins. Well, same difference, I guess. I don't think of your area as particularly urban. Neither is Mesa, AZ; Phoenix is just one vast suburb. So, two very white areas with high graduation rates, and a third, San Jose, formerly with a high Hispanic population, now with a higher Asian-American population attracted by the Silicon Valley economy. I am surprised by the high graduation rates in San Francisco/Oakland, but given the high cost of housing there lately...perhaps I shouldn't be. In any event, even these relative oases are nothing to write home about, and are shameful compared to Western Europe and Japan/Korea.

Assume that these graduation rates are for ALL students--attending both public and private schools.

Colorado Springs Vs Fort Collins
by LeRoy_Was_Here
Both of these communities may be very 'white', but that is about the extent of their similarities. Colorado Springs is much larger than Fort Collins, for one thing. Colorado Springs is also a power center for the religious right; James Dobson's group, Focus on the Family, has its headquarters there, and is very influential in city politics. The Air Force Academy (very conservative, and VERY evangelical Christian) is also located there. Whereas Fort Collins has a major Hewlett-Packard presence and Colorado State University which, while not quite as 'liberal' as the University of Colorado in the 'People's Republic of Boulder', is still a typical somewhat-to-the-left public university. Fort Collins usually votes Democratic in both Presidential and Congressional elections, even though our current representative, Rep. Marilyn Musgrave, is generally classified as a far-right Republican, with her signature issue for many years being opposition to gay marriage. This is a strange Congressional district, because the majority of votes actually come from the very conservative farming communities of the Eastern plains and the very conservative retiree community of Loveland (where, in recent years, there has been the most hilarious brouhaha about a partially nude Greco-Roman style statue). Those votes overwhelm the more liberal political leanings of Fort Collins. The last Congressional election was amazingly close, and Musgrave is now trying to position herself as being a little more centrist; I think she realizes that the voters do not consider gay marriage to be the most pressing issue that Americans are thinking about these days.........
Re: Catastrophic High School Dropout Rates
by Luoyi

I also think the Brazil option is more likely.

The wealth is too well protected to suffer distribution.

"Peoples' Republic of Boulder, CO?"
by genedio
That was good for a belly laugh. You should come to the Peoples' Republic of Berkeley or the Peoples' Republic of Cambridge (both are mere shadows of their 1960s-70s heydays) to see what real leftist urban centers look like. I wonder if Kansans call the area around the University of Kansas the 'Peoples' Republic of Witchita'? No, that would be going too far. Anyway, I get your drift about CO. Springs. Sounds like a rather scary place, with a lot of conformity, and it's not surprising that the dropout rate was low. But it proves my point that white non-urban areas did better, and you could take a place like Boise, ID and get similar numbers. Mex-Ams will tend to skew the numbers upwards, Asian-Ams downwards.
Sadly, I can believe what I'm hearing
by PhilfromCalifornia

Having reviewed the statistics presented by Leroy, the congregation assembled here seems to have concluded that we must respond by doing whatever we can to save the middle class. I seems to me that the implication of the data is that it is the poor (deprecatingly referred to as the underclass by some) that need saving. Am I missing something here?

Re: Sadly, I can believe what I'm hearing
by genedio

I think you are, Phil. Either that or you've been out in California too long.

The middle class can't afford private school, for the most part. And it's getting so they can't afford to live in districts which sport quality public schools. Well, maybe Iowa or Mesa, AZ or Colorado Springs, CO, but not the kind of quality that existed in the schools we attended. Leroy estimates that only one high school in ten provides a quality education. Or is it one in ten students receives a quality education. Increasingly, that's likely to be a rich or upper middle class student.

Re: Sadly, I can believe what I'm hearing
by PhilfromCalifornia

It seems to me that the middle class doesn't want to pay for quality public schools. Whether the poor want to or not is of little significance since they can't. It was, of course, the middle class that passed the calamitous Prop 13. California's schools, along with the libraries and even street lighting, have been going downhill since that point.

Another problem, which was local to California but probably has occurred elsewhere, is the English only movement which kept schools from providing a quality education to millions of kids from Spanish speaking homes. Given the large Hispanic population in this state, that can't be seen as anything but counterproductive, since one of the teaching opportunities which was eliminated was the ability to teach English in a Spanish-speaking milieu.

An additional problem we had was the penchant of the very conservative California school board to adopt the same texts as Texas did under the influence of the uneducated and biased pair, Mel and Norma Gabler. It is of little value to confront possibly reluctant students with tales they know to be incorrect.

I think that the middle class has been largely responsible for the degradation of public schools. Moving to the private schools is not a step upward, since so many of them are propelled by the denial of some phase of reality. What the poor have done to reduce the quality of public schools happens at home, and is not to be denied. What the middle classes have done was done to the schools themselves.

Bingo! You Get The Prize!!
by LeRoy_Was_Here

Phil says: It seems to me that the middle class doesn't want to pay for quality public schools.

And LeRoy says: EXACTIMUNDO! In one nice succinct sentence, Phil says exactly what I have been trying to communicate all along. Perhaps I am simply less eloquent. The public would evidently rather pay for endless wars in the Middle East, gigantic farm subsidies for politically-connected agribusiness firms, pork barrel projects of all kinds, and just more tax cuts, puhleeze.

Phil further says: I think that the middle class has been largely responsible for the degradation of the public schools.

LeRoy: Again, I agree, exactly right. And this is exactly what I mean to attribute to cultural decay in the United States. The middle class evidently at some point forgot that high-quality education was why America developed such a strong middle class to begin with, and that maintaining that middle class would require CONTINUOUS attention to educational quality, especially in the face of vigorous global competition from other countries that carefully observed how we got rich, and decided to start imitating us.

This is not a case of economic homicide, as so many posters seem to think; America has committed economic SUICIDE.

Re: Bingo! You Get The Prize!!
by genedio

It sure felt like homicide, or at least civil war to me back in 1978 when I and 36% of Californians voted against Prop. 13. It seemed a case of the fat cats teaming up with the 'little guy', the homeowner whose real estate was advancing so quickly it was pushing him out of his own house. That was the year when the middle class first rebelled against the tax system. Two years later the country elected Reagan and got Prop. 13 on a national scale.

One could blame the high inflation and high interest rates. Nixon and Johnson for setting this up to fail.

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