Re: Moron check! Who in the hell
by
pathfinder-01
05/07/2008, 11:57 PM #
Here is an African American view point that might help you understand why he is getting 90% of the black vote.
Obama would lose in a landslide if he ran against another African American in a heavily black. The things that make him comfortable to many whites (his speeches) would put off many blacks because you know in 30 seconds that this guy isn’t a brother from the hood and has spent a lot of time with white people. (I.e. the same he’s not like you that is hurting him against the more conservative types)In other words just like white blue collar vote he would have trouble here.
Obama at best might have only gotten 60-70% of the black vote if it were simply a matter of black racism / favoritism against white. And that is 60%-70% of the vote all things being even. i.e. Equal name recognition at the start. Equal chance at the start. Roughly equal money at the start. There is always a segment of the black population that isn’t going to go with the rest just as in any population. And not everyone is color blind. I.e. Alan Keyes is black but very few could support him on ANYTHING. Skin color, just like being Irish in an Irish district or Catholic in a heavily catholic one or Italian in LITTLE Italy only goes so far.
In fact at the start Clinton had like 60% of the black vote Most blacks didn’t think a black man could win the primary AND me personally I though the chances of the cubs winning the World Series were higher than there ever being a black President. I figured at best Obama would wind up as a VP.
I was very comfortable voting for her in a general election. I was only going to vote for Obama because I felt we could use a little change. My mom, who is more conservative than me was going to vote for Hillary because she felt we needed experience. Then the Clinton camp made a bad statement that did not go well and it turned my mom to Obama.
I am a bit more forgiving after all maybe it was mis said. However when Hillary took the low road over answering if he were a Muslim (i.e. “I don’t know” instead of “This shouldn’t be an issues”) she turned me off. If all that were not bad enough at a debate she bated Obama with “Do you denounce Louis Farrakhan” i.e. does every black man need to explain his position on that? Lets not talk about taking so long to denource Ferraro. Leaking that videa of Wright(like him or think he is a racist fool, He is a member of the black church a major part of the black experince.)The leak was viewed as an attack upon the black church and a shameless attempt to scare white people with a scary black man. Her scrouched earth tactics burned the black community badly.
Basically she has P***** off the black population. The 90% voting for Obama is a vote against hillary. I no longer can vote for her for preisdent. Sorry, dude just can’t. I can’t hold my noise hard enough to do it. Frankly I don’t think I could vote for Obama with hillary has his VP.
She has not attacked other minority groups and so they are less p****** off with her. That is why she is getting more traction there. Me personally I don’t think she is racist, but she panders to them unashamedly and at best she lacks the diplomacy to be president.
I also think a lot of people support her because of her last name. It is like a trusted brand that you have known so long and just do not want to abandon despite evidence suggesting that this brand is not as good as it seems. If this race were between two white men with equal name recognition and they were making Hillarie’s argument he would be laughed at. Why on earth should the delegates give the nomination to the guy who won fewer delegates? Much less other things like popular vote and states won and cash on hand. That would be dumb.
However this is like trying to get people to switch brands. People know Hillary, they don’t know Obama. There is ample evidence that Hillary can not run a competent campaign. She didn’t plan for the primary to run past Super Tuesday. She has had to loan her campaign money on more than one occasion. She is unable to win enough delegates in a race for delegates. (Also by the way delegates are assigned to states with a formula that takes in account electoral vote and how strongly the district favors democrats. ). Not counting the little problem, of she ticked off a major democratic group African Americans. I am sorry but this brand isn’t living up to its label.
I don’t know if Obama can win the general, but I do not see how Hillary can or could even without the Obama factor. She would concentrate too many resources in too few states and get run over as McCain wins all those unimportant states and try to reach voters in ineffective ways. Her lack of diplomacy would tick off any voter block that got caught in it and her scorched earth would not work well against a liked war vet. I don’t think she has the skills to be an effective politician.