By the time all the states and colonies have voted, and the superdelegates have committed, then Obama's lead would probably be sufficient that IT WOULDN'T MATTER whether the Florida and Michigan delegations are seated or not. Obama's people might just not bother to contest the issue, in exchange for an ironclad guarantee from those states' Dem party leadership that they promise to follow the rules from now on.

This might presuppose that Senator Clinton will agree to suspend her campaign when a post-primaries poll of delegates gives Obama the outright majority. But I think that Clinton will carry her campaign to the convention the way Ted Kennedy did in 1980, hoping for a deathbed conversion of hundreds of superdelegates. The death of the Clinton machine will be broadcast live on network TV in prime time.

So now the betting should be which state gets to cast the deciding vote for Obama on the floor of the convention. Wyoming? Wisconsin? Washington? My money's on Texas.