Best of the Fray

Re: Call to the Post: Cold, Hard Handicapping

threadkiller — Wed, 18 Feb 2009 23:20:35 GMT

#$@%

fun.

Snolly G — Mon, 05 May 2008 14:35:30 GMT

and a trite masterful.

Re: Here's one for the horses

MaryAnne — Sun, 04 May 2008 09:37:14 GMT

Another fine show of a Horse.

http://www.flixxy.com/world-equestrian-games-freestyle-dressage.htm

Here's one for the horses

RainMan — Sun, 04 May 2008 04:13:39 GMT

and those who love them.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdDwm3QIwfg

Jack

It sends a shiver..

Eljem — Sun, 04 May 2008 03:56:03 GMT

Big heart is an understatement. I saw no sign, even in the replay until
the race was finished. Offering the history and weakness in those blood lines was a great and tragic piece of timing.

Never Seen That Before

Urquhart — Sun, 04 May 2008 01:11:43 GMT

Sure, I've seen horses break down. During the race. But to gut it out like that and then break down after she crossed the line, that was incredible. All the commentators, before getting official medical word, had assumed she had heart trouble from running so damned hard.

Eight Belles certainly did not have a faint heart.

Pretty Decent Performance

Urquhart — Sun, 04 May 2008 01:07:49 GMT

Gotta love the Lousiana horse. I figured Recapturetheglory would collapse if he didn't get the lead, but he hung in there. A speed-favoring track, though.

I saw Chelsea and Johnny Depp. Not together.

Brownie Beat Me Fair and Square

Urquhart — Sun, 04 May 2008 01:04:15 GMT

Man, what a win. You have to make a decision on favorites. My decision was "prove it", and I'll be damned if he didn't do it. Got a good trip, but nobody really threatened him. If he can stay healthy with those iffy hooves, he's in a shot at the elusive #12.

Great post. Sadly prophetic.

Eljem — Sat, 03 May 2008 23:23:28 GMT

She paid the highest price.

Elj

I'm a hunch better.

Skeptical3 — Sat, 03 May 2008 22:39:18 GMT

Go for Recapturedglory to come from behind.

(I saw Hillary signing autographs while wearing her Derby Chapeau)

Re: Great post,great thread...you know your horses

MaryAnne — Sat, 03 May 2008 20:22:44 GMT

MasterJay:

as a horseman I enjoyed it all very much.

Thank you.

Masterjay is not kidding when he says,"He is a Horseman.!"

A very good one!

Great post,great thread...you know your horses

MasterJay — Sat, 03 May 2008 19:06:11 GMT

as a horseman I enjoyed it all very much.

Thank you.

I'd Like to Thank All Who Helped

Urquhart — Sat, 03 May 2008 14:23:37 GMT

make the tag "Hot Southern Cousin Lust" such a success. I'm fair bursting with pride.

But we can't let up now. It looks kind of puny next to that big, bold, steroid-fueled jeqal.

Re: More hot cousin action

Urquhart — Sat, 03 May 2008 14:20:35 GMT

They are getting more fragile. That's part of the reason for the synthetic dirt. All thoroughbred horses are in fact descended from only three original stallions: the Darley Arabian, the Godolphin Arabian and the Byerly Turk. They were active during the reign of Charles II. Who got his nickname of Old Rowley from his prize stud. For obvious reasons.

Blowing $100 in Two Minutes

Urquhart — Sat, 03 May 2008 14:16:50 GMT

Latest Estimated Odds

Big Brown 3-1

Colonel John 9-2

Z Fortune 15-1

Eight Bells 20-1?

Gayego 21-1

Cool Coal Man 40-1

Recapturetheglory 50-1

Adriano 25-1

Monba 28-1

Z Humor 65-1

I’m getting conflicting data on Eight Bells. Some have her as low as 8-1 on the betting so far. I ain’t betting no filly at 8-1.

Our longshot win prospects are looking good. A small win bet on Cool Coal Man and Recapturetheglory is definitely warranted. $5 each.

Gayego looks like a bargain, probably due to the name. The price is about right on Z Fortune. Big Brown, Colonel John and Eight Bells don’t offer much value (if my theory on Eight Bells is correct). We may want $10 each on our solid value win prospects.

The exacta. Here’s where we make our money. Taking a stand against the favorite, we can put Colonel John, Z Fortune, Gayego, Cool Coal Man and Recapturetheglory on top. In the second slot, we put all of the above (except Recapturetheglory, win or bust, remember), adding Eight Bells and Big Brown. Alternately, you could get adventurous and substitute Z Humor for one of them. This comes to $30 total.

The trifecta. Swing for the fences. Top slot: Z Fortune, Gayego. Second slot: the above, plus Big Brown, Colonel John, Eight Bells, Cool Coal Man. Third slot: the above, plus our clunkers Monba and Adriano. This comes to $60.

All of which comes to $120. Hmm. You could reduce that by really taking a stand against the favorite in the exotic bets. Or you could just say, hell, it’s the Derby, and ignore the cap.