REPUBLICAN DISINFORMATION ALERT ...
by
Martin Edwin Andersen
02/10/2008, 12:05 AM
On MSNBC tonight, an exit poll in Louisana showed that 50 percent of Obama supporters said that they would be dissatisfied with Hillary Clinton as the nominee, while roughly two thirds of the Clinton voters said they would be dissatisfied with Obama as the party standardbearer.
There was no racial breakdown of who in each camp would be dissatisfied.
However, GOP strategist Pat Buchanan said that the Democrats should fear Obama getting the nod because the two thirds of the Clinton supporters who were potentially dissatisfied with an Obama nomination were probably Caucasians, or white.
In other words, this former Richard Nixon operative is raising the spectre of "white flight" from the Democratic Party if Obama is the nominee.
However, Buchana's argument is mathematical horse pucky, as the total number of people voting in the Louisiana Democratic primary who say they would be dissatisfied if their candidate's opponent won the nomination is roughly the same.
Remember, Barack Obama won 56 percent to 37 percent, in Louisiana.
That means that approximately 28 percent of his voters would be dissatisfied if Hillary is the nominee.
Of Hillary's 37 percent of the total Democratic vote, two thirds of that would be roughly 24 percent of the total votes cast in the primary.
In other words, the disenchantment potential on both sides is statistically a wash.
Given the Clintons' penchant for race coding, they are likely to parrot the Buchanan argument, as least privately.
Don't be fooled.
MARTIN EDWIN ANDERSEN
Churchton, Maryland