If the rest of the stimulus money works as well as the first half, we may see higher numbers

And your reasoning on this is?

Most expect the rate will go to 11% (19% for all) next year before we see any turnaround

Hmm. We are at 10.2%. And there are roughly 155,000,0000 in the labor force. So you are saying that we are going to see job losses of another 1.2 MILLION before the economy turns around.

Now the month to month unemployment numbers Calculator What we see is that from Jan 2008 (GWB's Last and first unemployment decrease in over a year) is a steady increase of unemployment at starting with a .1%, then .5% then climging to a steady state .4% per month

this PEAKS at .5% per/month growth in the GOP's last month of WH control.

Then it starts a steady downwards march until these last numbers.

so explain again why we are going to see unemployment turn back up?

Other than your idelological desires?