Horus:

1. Who will win the election, McCain or Obama?

--Right now, it looks like Obama, unless something crazy happens in the polls....IF I were a betting man, I would most definately bet on Obama/Biden.

2. How much of a spread?

--Tough one, there. I thought Obama would win, but my a narrow, but defined majority. But by observing the trends and polling date, it might be a bit larger. Of course, as far as the electoral college, I have no idea. He wins a few more of those "Purple" states, and it could be a much bigger spread.