CNN is wrong. McCain will finish with fewer than 189 electoral votes.

Obama will win all of the states that usually vote Democratic and he will give McCain a big scare in most of the states that are expected to vote Republican. Even when McCain wins a staunchly Republican state, he won't win by more than a 5% margin.

Look for Obama to win big with support from voters under 35, minority voters, military voters, college-educated voters, and males.

That's right, males. There is no way in hell that McCain is going to win even 40% of the male vote. You'd be surprised how many guys out there will not vote for a woman, under any circumstances. When you add to that number all of the guys out there who have a problem with Sarah Palin personally, it becomes pretty clear that McCain made a terrible pick.

Any gain McCain sees from female voters will be completely erased by the number of conservative males who resent Sarah Palin. Women will not unite behind Palin and men will unite against her. You won't hear many guys talking about it, but when Election Day comes a quiet brotherhood of rednecks will stand together to defend their pride and put Sarah Palin back in her place.

That's my prediction. In a few months I'll be bragging that I was right and CNN was wrong. This year every state is a battleground state except for the states that Obama already has in the bag.