John McCain is a likeable guy and is doing far better in the polls than he should be given the state of his party.

Obama is over-exposed. I think by the end the next month people are going to be sick of him and you'll start seeing the first McCain poll leads.

After that anything could happen, the press will certainly panic and fall in behind Obama - after all, they need news, and Obama's the more newsworthy candidate. But by then the McCain camp will have refined its angles of attack and probably shaken a few more skeletons out of Obama's unexplored closet.