Re: Why do Obama supporters seem determined to drive Hillary
by
s9999
06/08/2008, 8:46 AM #
Should Obama pick Hillary for VP
Consider this:
1. The overall democratic voter turnout was the largest in history (over 36 million).
2. These voters were almost evenly divided between the two candidates
3.
The roughly 18 million that voted for Obama probably would vote for
Obama in the general, not vote for McCain (or stay home), no matter who
Obama picks for VP.
4. As to the 18 million that voted for
Clinton, they are more likely to vote for Obama in the general election
if he picks her (not all of them will vote for him, even if he picks
her, but they are more likely to do so, compared to if he were to pick
someone else).
Therefore, for Obama to get the highest percentage
of voters in the general election, of those that voted in the
primaries, he almost has to pick Clinton.
Given the
historically record numbers of voters who have come out in the
primaries, it is likely that most Democratic voters in the general
election will have to come from the same set.
There
are those who say that he doesn't have to pick Clinton to get the same
effect. They argue that he could pick a Clinton supporter, or perhaps
another prominent Democratic female politician. That is absurd. Would
that argument have worked in reverse. If Clinton had won, would Obama
supporters have felt satisfied if Clinton had picked another black
politician, instead of Obama. Would Charlie Rangel or Harold Ford
mollified these voters? People cannot be substituted like that. The
emotional connection to supporters would be absent. Charlie Rangel,
Harold Ford or some other substitute would not have the experience of
the last several months on the campaign trail to dominate the
Republican opposition.
Can you imagine a VP debate
with Clinton and whoever the Republicans put up? After the 22 debates
she has had over the last several months, she'll destroy that person.
She is on her game. She is tenacious, and she finished the Democratic
with astounding fervor.
Some have argued that by
picking her, it would create a three-headed monster with two of the
heads being named Clinton. I say bring it on. Let's see how the
Republicans like that.