Re: What we can get away with - and for how long
by
bmgreene
11/03/2009, 8:56 PM #
Considering our trade deficit with China, I'm not sure how apt the colonialization comparison is.
China doesn't really have anything to lose in essentially selling a huge pool of cheap labor to U.S. firms, especially since it's not a permanent export (just an export of the results of that labor), and given their government's apparent regard for the value of an individual human life they're unlikely to take issue with any concievable degree of exploitation of the workers in the deal.
Probably the only thing that'll really draw the ire of the Chinese is if we manage to debase our currency to a point where the trade surplus (on their end) that's priced in that currency loses significant value and/or forces them to decouple their own currency from ours in order to aquire materials that they need to import from anyone other than us.
As for the military angle, that hasn't changed significantly since MacArthur in that we lack the numbers to realistically occupy their land and they lack the ability to get sufficient conventional force across the ocean to be effective against us. The only possibility for either side to produce a lasting result would be through nuclear annihilation, but the retaliation either way would be unavoidable and crippling in its own right.