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NOPEC -- A Silly Idea
by the_slasher14
+1 Reply

Look, nobody loves OPEC but the price of oil is what it is not because OPEC is fixing it, but because the market for oil products has exploded into parts of the world that never used much in the past (including, BTW, Saudi Arabia). This has enriched not only OPEC, but non-OPEC countries as well.

OPEC enforces it's market influence by controlling supply, but there is ample reason to believe that it's member nations aren't in a position to increase supply by enough to make much difference. Rumors that the Saudi oil fields are beginning to run dry have been rife for years now; Uganda has labor and local troubles; Venezuela would produce more if it could but it can't, etc., etc. Could OPEC produce more oil? Surely. A LOT more -- enough to make a serious difference in the price of gasoline. Almost certainly not.

Add to this the fact that the Saudis and other oil states are now the lenders of last resort for much of American bank fuckups and NOPEC becomes a DANGEROUS idea. I'm not so much worried about OPEC cutting off our oil. Why would they do that, when we've been such good customers and show no signs of changing our ways? I'm worried about their cutting off our MONEY -- no longer bailing out failing banks or businesses and no longer financing our deficit by buying T-bills.

Conservation and the development of alternative fuels aren't the best way to deal with OPEC. They're the ONLY way. And any politician who says otherwise is either very stupid or lying to you. And Hillary Clinton is not stupid.

Re: NOPEC -- A Silly Idea
by davefoc

Totally and exactly right.

I kept reading the article trying to find some substance. I didn't notice any.

Re: NOPEC -- A Silly Idea
by pwoxby

@ the_slasher14:

You nailed it. OPEC is increasingly irrelevant. Exponentially increasing world-wide demand for oil has caught up to finite reserves. $120/bbl will seem cheap in ten years.

We were warned about this by experts in the 1970s. We should have spent the last 30 years preparing. But the time horizon of politicians extends no further than the next election. As is well illustrated by Hillary Clinton's NOPEC pander.

In addition to conservation and alternative energy sources, we should consider scraping our automotive based culture. It evolved in a haphazard fashion and it has arguably caused more problems than it has solved.

Obama 08!

Re: NOPEC -- A Silly Idea
by revrick

Slasher....

I was going to post essentially the same as you, but I would even doubt that OPEC has all that much ability to increase oil production. The price of oil will only continue to rise as the demand increases. Oil production has been flat the past few years. Aging fields like Mexico's Cantarell and England's North Seas are in serious decline. We are now running as hard as we can just to stay in place.

PS. I think you meant Nigeria, not Uganda.

Re: NOPEC -- A Silly Idea
by the_slasher14
revrick: Thanks for pointing that out -- yes, I meant Nigeria.
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