Lots are not getting smaller
by
NewUrban
05/05/2008, 7:04 AM #
According to Tom Vanderbilt: "U.S. Census Bureau data tell us that as American house sizes have grown
(despite shrinking family sizes), the size of lots has actually shrunk."
A drive around the suburban fringe of any metropolitan area, or the countryside within an hour or so of any substantial jobs, ought to make one very suspicious of that statement. America is a land of far-flung houses where people live quasi-suburban lifestyles. These houses have proliferated in recent years. There are two problems with the Census Bureau's industry figures. The first is that they don't count large lot houses. The second problem is that the Bureau doesn't count custom houses or manufactured housing.
So you can see the problem. The people who build a custom house or plunk down a manufactured house far out in the countryside or those who are buying McMansions on two-acre lots don't count in the Census Bureau's industry survey.
To get a sense of THAT, you have to look at the American Communities Survey, also taken by the Census Bureau. They don't give average lot sizes, but if you carefully look at the numbers, you can see that the average lot size is more like an acre per house — not the quarter-acre that is reported by the Census Bureau through their industry survey.
The rest of the article is interesting and makes some pretty good points. And house sizes have grown. But don't believe that the average lot sizes are shrinking. This is likely to happen in the future with rising gas prices. But in the last two decades at least, it just ain't so.